This play is less about our numbers/data, it's based more on a very sharp line freeze. This line opened Suns -2, and roughly 75% of the public money grabbed the +2 points with the dog (the Warriors). Despite the lopsided public action, this line has remained frozen at -2. There are a lot of ways to interpret a line freeze. One of the factors we like to look at is how many tickets (and how much money) the game is generating/expected to generate. In a huge nationally televised game that will be heavily bet by the public, a line freeze is significant. You just need to make sure you are on the right side of the freeze. For us, this one is pretty clear. Side with the books when they have a liability, and it will work out in your favor more times than not. The liability is building by the minute on the Warriors, and the books are not budging. No guarantees here, but we like this spot enough to raise our bet a bit. Give us the Suns moneyline for 1.5 units.

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