NBA betting charts are updated.

0.5 UNIT

Knicks @ Raptors

Raptors Moneyline (-114)

This is a tough scheduling spot for the Knicks, who are in the backend of a back-to-back with travel. The Knicks have not performed well in B2B spots this season (2-4 against the spread), and they have also struggled as road underdogs (1-4 against the spread). The Raptors have had the last two days off and should have the much fresher legs in this matchup. Toronto is playing very good basketball right now, riding a four-game win streak, with the most recent win coming on the road against the Thunder as a double-digit underdog. The bulk of the Knicks shot distribution comes from the three-point line, and Toronto ranks 2nd in the NBA in three-point defense. This is also a double-revenge spot for the Raptors, who lost both previous matchups against the Knicks this season. Our wager is a half-unit on the Raptors to capitalize on a favorable scheduling spot and extend their win streak. 

(1/28 at 8:04am via Novig)

UFC 325 betting charts are updated.

All UFC 325 bets will be posted throughout the week.

0.5 UNIT

Diego Lopes vs. Alexander Volkanovski

Diego Lopes Moneyline (+140)

Write up will be posted shortly.

(1/27 at 1:00pm via Novig)

NFL betting dashboards are updated.

All Super Bowl bets will be posted throughout the next two weeks.

No NCAAB bets today.

Tom's Current Season Records:

NFL: 49-36-3 (+13.9 Units)

PGA: 3-11 (-0.7 Units)

NFL Bets:

1 UNIT

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Seahawks -4.5 (-110)

*1/26 at 7:05am via FanDuel

PGA Bets:

Check back soon.

Futures Bets:

0.5 UNIT

Bills To Win AFC (+500)

*12/29 at 7:00am via BetMGM

0.5 UNIT

Jaguars To Win Superbowl (+1400)

*12/26 at 7:30am via BetMGM

0.25 UNIT

Chargers To Win Superbowl (+2000)

*12/26 at 7:36am via Caesars

0.25 UNIT

Bears To Win Superbowl (+2000)

*12/26 at 7:40am via BetRivers

2 UNIT

Matthew Stafford To Win MVP (-200)

*12/19 at 6:00am via FanDuel

1 UNIT

Matthew Stafford To Win MVP (-170)

*12/12 at 6:11am via BetMGM

1 UNIT

Matthew Stafford To Win MVP (+105)

*12/8 at 6:00am via FanDuel

0.5 UNIT

Matthew Stafford To Win MVP (+270)

*11/14 at 9:20am via Caesars

Ricky's Current Season Records:

NFL: 58-50-2 (+3.0 Units)

NCAAB: 2-3 (+0.0 Units)

NFL Bets:

0.5 UNIT

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Patriots +5 (-110)

*1/26 at 7:05am via BetMGM

0.5 UNIT

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Jaxson Smith-Njigba Under 93.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

*1/26 at 7:11am via BetMGM

Futures Bets:

0.5 UNIT

Bills To Win Superbowl (+1100)

*12/29 at 7:00am via BetRivers

0.25 UNIT

Bills To Win Superbowl (+880)

*12/26 at 7:40am via Caesars

1 UNIT

Christian McCaffrey Comeback Player Of The Year (-250)

*12/19 at 10:10am via BetRivers

1 UNIT

Matthew Stafford To Win MVP (-200)

*12/19 at 6:00am via FanDuel

0.25 UNIT

Bills To Win Superbowl (+850)

*12/15 at 8:45am via BetMGM

0.25 UNIT

Matthew Stafford To Win MVP (-170)

*12/12 at 6:11am via BetMGM

1 UNIT

Matthew Stafford To Win MVP (+105)

*12/8 at 6:00am via FanDuel

0.5 UNIT

Matthew Stafford To Win MVP (+270)

*11/14 at 9:20am via Caesars

0.25 UNIT

Jaxson Smith-Nijigba To Win OPOY (+300)

*11/14 at 9:23am via BetRivers

0.1 UNIT

Dak Prescott To Win MVP (+5000)

*10/17 at 9:20am via FanDuel

0.1 UNIT

49ers To Win NFC (+950)

*8/29 at 5:58am via DraftKings

0.1 UNIT

49ers To Win Super Bowl (+2500)

*5/24 at 6:53am via Fanatics

New episode of The BradyBagz Show dropping this week.

Sean's UFC 324 results are at the bottom of the page.

Sean Brady's Picks Record:

2026 - 6-3 (-0.6 Units)

*All picks graded as a 1 unit risk.

New episode of The BradyBagz Show dropping this week.

Joe's UFC 324 results are at the bottom of the page.

Joe Pyfer's Picks Record:

2026 - 4-8 (-5.6 Units)

2025 - 239-174 (+23.1 Units)

*All picks graded as a 1 unit risk.

0.5 UNIT

Kansas State @ West Virginia

Kansas State +8.5 (-110)

Kansas State is in the midst of its worst season since Jerome Tang took over the program in 2023. The Wildcats are 10-10 overall but just 1-6 in Big 12 Conference play. West Virginia is having a strong season under its first-year head coach Ross Hodge, but the 8.5-point spread in this matchup is surprising. The Mountaineers have one of the nation's best home-court advantages and a defensive edge. However, Kansas State holds slightly better offensive metrics, including efficiency, effective field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and two-point percentage. These two teams play at conflicting tempos. Kansas State plays very fast, averaging 15 seconds per offensive possession (18th fastest in the nation), while West Virginia operates much slower, averaging 19 seconds per offensive possession (338th). West Virginia typically looks to dictate the pace, which creates fewer overall possessions. This bodes well for the team getting 8.5 points. This line did steam a bit from opening (6.5), but those same bettors that pounced on the 6.5 are not biting at the 8.5, which has remained available since the two-point move. We will buy low on this Kansas State team and grab the +8.5 points in what should be a competitive conference game. 

(1/27 at 12:51pm via BetMGM)

(WIN)

0.5 UNIT

UMass Lowell @ UMBC

UMBC +1 (-110)

This is our wild card bet of the day, as the line movement in this game has been a bit strange. UMBC opened as a -3.5 point favorite yesterday and flipped to a +1 home underdog overnight. There are no reports of any injuries, illnesses, or anything that would justify a 4.5 point swing. Assuming it was sharp/respected action hitting the UMass Lowell side that created this swing, the oddsmakers look to have adjusted the line substantially to account for it. This number has reached a point that makes the UMBC side appealing to us. Neither team is particularly good, but UMBC has notable offensive advantages, including efficiency, effective field-goal percentage, turnover percentage, three-point percentage, 2-point percentage, and free-throw percentage. UMBC also holds a slightly better adjusted defensive efficiency ranking than UMass Lowell and will benefit from playing this game on their home floor with no travel. Our wager is a half-unit on UMBC +1. 

(1/24 at 6:41am via Fanatics)

(WIN)

0.5 UNIT

Vermont @ Bryant

Under 136.5 (-110)

Vermont and Bryant both play at very slow tempos, averaging north of 18-19 seconds per possession. Bryant is a very poor offensive team, ranking 349th in adjusted offensive efficiency, 352nd in effective field goal percentage, and shooting just 28% from three-point range (353rd). Vermont has a decent offense (154th in adjusted offensive efficiency), but they struggle shooting from the three-point line (33%). This is a difficult scheduling spot for Vermont, which will be playing its third consecutive road game this week. Considering that Vermont is expected to cover the larger portion of this total as the betting favorite, a sluggish offensive performance or a slow start would bode well for this under. Our wager is a half unit on this game to stay under 136.5 total points. 

(1/24 at 9:09am via BetMGM)

(WIN)

0.5 UNIT

Cincinnati @ Arizona State

Arizona State +2.5 (-110)

After a strong 9-2 start to the season, the Sun Devils have gone 1-7 in their last 8 games (1-5 in conference games). Cincinnati had a huge home win against Iowa State last Saturday, but they were blown out by Arizona in their most recent game. The Bearcats have a top-10-ranked defense, but their offense ranks 186th in adjusted efficiency. Cincinnati is shooting 30% from three-point range (330th nationally). They are also one of the worst free-throw shooting teams in the entire nation at 65% (351st). Offensive issues tend to come out on the road, and that lines right up with Cincinnati’s 0-6 record on the road this season. Arizona State has been at home with no travel all week, while Cincinnati is playing its second consecutive road game. We will buy low on the Sun Devils and take the +2.5 points in a game they should be live to win outright. 

(1/24 at 8:08am via BetMGM)

(WIN)

0.5 UNIT

Kansas @ Kansas State

Kansas State +5 (-111)

Kansas State is just 1-5 since conference play has started. Kansas holds a 4-2 conference record, including three consecutive wins over Iowa State, Baylor, and Colorado. This is a tough scheduling spot for the Jayhawks, who played in Boulder on Tuesday and have a second consecutive road game this week against their in-state rivals. Kansas State has one of the better home-court advantages in college basketball at Bramlage Coliseum, valued at roughly +4 points according to KenPom. The Wildcats aren’t particularly great at any specific offensive or defensive metric, but they are quality across the board, and they knock down three-pointers at a 37.5% clip (26th in the nation). This is a key game for Kansas State to avoid letting its season slip away. We anticipate that Jerome Tang and his team will do everything in their power to pull off an upset today. While we aren’t bold enough to bet the Wildcats outright, we will take the +5 points. 

(1/24 at 8:53am via ProphetX)

(LOSS)

0.5 UNIT

Magic @ Cavaliers

Cavaliers -5 (-113)

Our NBA betting charts indicate several key advantages for the Cavaliers in this matchup. Cleveland holds a notable offensive edge, ranking 5th in our offensive power rankings compared to 23rd for the Magic. Orlando is averaging 111 points per 100 possessions compared to 114 for the Cavs offense. Defensively, the Cavs are allowing fewer points per 100 possessions. The game is being played in Cleveland, which is worth about 2-3 points depending on how you value it, but certainly somewhere in that range. The Cavs are playing much better basketball right now, having won three straight games compared to three consecutive losses for the Magic. These teams played on Saturday in Orlando, and the Cavs won outright (119-105) as +1.5 point underdogs. Cleveland does have a couple of key players on the injury report, but Orlando remains without Franz Wagner. Our wager is a half unit on the Cavs -5. 

(1/26 at 10:13am via BetRivers)

(WIN)

0.75 UNIT

Patriots @ Broncos

Patriots Moneyline (-197)

The big storyline heading into this AFC Championship is the Broncos playing without their starting QB, Bo Nix, who broke his ankle against the Bills last weekend. Backup QB Jarret Stidham will step in, who is a bit of a wild card given that he hasn’t taken a meaningful snap since 2023. In the limited sample we have of Stidham, he has an 8/8 TD-to-INT ratio and a 78.3 QB rating. Our concern with Stidham outside of the lack of experience is that this Denver offense has struggled even with Bo Nix this season. The Broncos rank below the league average in offensive efficiency and right around the league average in their run and pass metrics. Denver has struggled with offensive penalties (26th) and converting at the goalline (24th). This Patriots defense ranks top 10 in EPA per play, series conversion rate, yards per play, 3rd down percentage, pass yards per game, yards per attempt, rush yards per game, yards per carry, red zone trips allowed per game, and turnovers per game. Mike Vrabel and the Patriots' defensive staff have made things very difficult for the last two QBs they've faced (CJ Stroud, Justin Herbert), and we anticipate more of the same with Stidham. As we look at the Patriots' QB and offense, we see a clear-cut edge for New England on this side of the ball. Drake Maye’s metrics are phenomenal, and he’s performed extremely well both against man coverage and against the blitz. This is key, as the Broncos' defense plays a ton of man coverage and generates more pressure than any team in the NFL. With this line sitting around -4 currently, our numbers show more value in grabbing the moneyline available at (-197) rather than laying over a field goal. The juice implies roughly a 66% win probability, which is right in line with our projections. Our wager is on the Patriots to win this game and advance to the Super Bowl.

(1/25 at 7:55am via Novig)

(WIN)

0.5 UNIT

Rams @ Seahawks

Seahawks -2 (-108)

This will be the 3rd matchup between these two teams this season. Each team won its home game by 2 points or less. The combined score from both regular-season games was 1 point (58-57). It’s worth noting that Seahawks QB Sam Darnold has thrown 6 interceptions in those two matchups with 2 touchdowns. Matthew Stafford had 5 TD passes and 0 interceptions in those two games. On one hand, Stafford’s metrics versus Darnold’s in these matchups speak loudly. On the other hand, it’s a bit concerning that the Rams only had a 1-point differential despite those two extremes in QB production. Each team has a top-tier defense, with the Seahawks holding the slightly better overall defensive power ranking (1st versus 4th). The Rams have better offensive metrics, ranking 1st in OEM (offensive efficiency), while the Seahawks rank 15th. From a coaching and experience standpoint, Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford have been here before, with both having already won a Super Bowl in their Rams tenures. Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald and QB Sam Darnold both had their first playoff game last week. Sean McVay is 2-0 in conference championship games. Matthew Stafford is 6-1 against the Seahawks since joining the Rams, with the lone loss being the most recent Week 16 overtime matchup in Seattle, where the Rams blew a 16-point 4th-quarter lead. Blowing leads has been a concerning theme with the Rams in several of their losses this season. Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald and QB Sam Darnold have been on the better side of several come-from-behind victories this season. While Sam Darnold has struggled at times in big moments throughout his career, Darnold has been very good in the do-or-die moments this season. Our final note in this game is the favorable scheduling spot for the Seahawks compared to an extremely difficult one for the Rams. Seattle had a bye week in the wild-card round and played at home last week with no travel in the playoffs. The Rams have gone from Carolina to Chicago (in overtime), and now to Seattle in three consecutive road games. The Seahawks should be the fresher team and will have their home crowd behind them. Our wager is a half unit on the Seahawks -2. 

(1/25 at 10:49am via Novig)

(WIN)

0.75 UNIT

Sean O'Malley vs. Song Yadong

Sean O'Malley Moneyline (-192)

Sean O’Malley is coming off back-to-back losses to Merab Dvalishvili, but this looks to be a favorable matchup for the Suga Show. Song Yadong is a tremendous talent in this Bantamweight division, but he has aggressive tendencies that favor a long-range counter striker and sniper like O’Malley. Yadong takes a lot of damage in his fights, averaging 4 significant strikes absorbed per minute. Sean O’Malley averages over 6 significant strikes landed per minute, holding some of the best striking volume metrics in the entire UFC. O’Malley has a much better significant striking differential, far better striking accuracy and defense, and a better knockdown average. Song’s camp has been vocal in the media that they want him to use his grappling and wrestling in this matchup with O’Malley. Whether or not this is true, O’Malley has good scrambling metrics getting back to his feet after being taken down, and if you remove the Merab fights, O’Malley has been phenomenal at avoiding being controlled on the ground. Sean O’Malley has a notable height and reach advantage. We see a clear path to victory on the scorecards with O”Malley’s striking edge, but he also has rare one-shot knockout power for this division. For this reason, our wager is on the moneyline, which covers any method of victory for Sean O’Malley. 

(1/22 at 6:12am via Novig)

(WIN)

0.5 UNIT

Paddy Pimblett vs. Justin Gaethje

Under 3.5 Rounds (-150)

Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett have a combined 38 finishes, with almost 80% of their overall bouts ending inside the distance. On the Pimblett side, Paddy has strong submission skills in addition to the ability to put his opponents out with his striking. Justin Gaethje is coming off an impressive win against Rafael Fiziev, but he’s still just one fight removed from a devastating knockout loss to Max Holloway. Gaethje has 3 losses by KO/TKO in his career, and 2 losses by submission. Paddy Pimblett has never been knocked out, which fits with his trademark quote, “scousers don’t get knocked out”. With that said, Gaethje will be the most dangerous striker that Pimblett has faced in his career, especially in terms of knockout ability. Our metrics suggest the two most likely outcomes in this fight are a Paddy Pimblett submission or a Justin Gaethje knockout. Both fighters' average fight time is well under 15 minutes. This 3.5-round prop gives us 17.5 minutes for either fighter to find a finish. Our stake is a half unit. 

(1/22 at 6:20am via Fanatics)

(LOSS)

0.25 UNIT

Josh Hokit vs. Denzel Freeman

Josh Hokit By Finish (+114)

Josh Hokit enters this fight with a perfect 7-0 record, with all 7 wins coming inside the distance. The former NFL fullback is an explosive athlete who also brings a big personality into the octagon. His opponent, Denzel Freeman, holds a 7-1 record coming off a win in his UFC debut. With that said, Freeman’s performance was underwhelming in his debut despite winning. Freeman has never been knocked out or submitted, but his cardio has looked questionable in several of his fights. At (+114) odds, we will take a small flier on Josh Hokit to find a knockout or submission inside of the 3 rounds. 

(1/24 at 6:57am via BetRivers)

(WIN)

0.25 UNIT

Ateba Gautier vs. Andrey Pulyaev

Ateba Gautier Under 1.5 Rounds (-135)

Ateba Gautier is 3-0 in the UFC with three first-round knockouts. Seven of his nine career wins have come by round 1 knockout. Gautier is a freak athlete with extreme power in his hands. He faces an opponent in Andrey Pulyaev, who has been durable since joining the UFC but was knocked out in the first round in 2023 in a regional promotion. While Pulyaev went three rounds with a dangerous striker in Chris Leroy Duncan, he looked vulnerable to a finish in several moments of the fight. If Gautier is going to find the knockout, we like his chances of doing so in the first 7.5 minutes of the fight. This wager comes at a (-135) price tag, compared to around (-550) for the full-fight knockout prop. 

(1/24 at 7:21am via Fanatics)

(LOSS)

Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett

Paddy Pimblett By Finish

(LOSS)

Sean O'Malley vs. Song Yadong

Sean O'Malley Moneyline

(WIN)

Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Derrick Lewis

Waldo Cortes-Acosta Moneyline

(WIN)

Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas

Natalia Silva Moneyline

(WIN)

Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva

Jean Silva Moneyline

(WIN)

Nikita Krylov vs. Modestas Bukauskas

Modestas Bukauskas Moneyline

(LOSS)

Alex Perez vs. Charles Johnson

Charles Johnson Moneyline

(LOSS)

Josh Hokit vs. Denzel Freeman

Josh Hokit Moneyline

(WIN)

Adam Fugitt vs. Ty Miller

Ty Miller Moneyline

(WIN)

Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett

Paddy Pimblett By Finish

(LOSS)

Sean O'Malley vs. Song Yadong

Song Yadong By Decision

(LOSS)

Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Derrick Lewis

Waldo Cortes-Acosta Moneyline

(WIN)

Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas

Natalia Silva Moneyline

(WIN)

Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva

Jean Silva By Finish

(LOSS)

Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Deiveson Figueiredo

Deiveson Figueiredo Moneyline (*small longshot)

(LOSS)

Ateba Gautier vs. Andrey Pulyaev

Andrey Pulyaev Moneyline

Fight To End By KO/TKO

(LOSS X2)

Nikita Krylov vs. Modestas Bukauskas

Modestas Bukauskas Moneyline

(LOSS)

Alex Perez vs. Charles Johnson

Charles Johnson Moneyline

(LOSS)

Josh Hokit vs. Denzel Freeman

Josh Hokit Moneyline

(WIN)

Adam Fugitt vs. Ty Miller

Ty Miller Moneyline

(WIN)

NFL Results:

1 UNIT

Patriots @ Broncos

Broncos +5.5 (-105)

*1/19 at 6:00am via BetMGM

(WIN)

1 UNIT

Rams @ Seahawks

Rams +3 (-115)

*1/19 at 6:20am via Fanatics

(LOSS)

PGA Results:

1.2 UNIT

Si Woo Kim vs. Min Woo Lee

Si Woo Kim (-163)

*1/21 at 6:00am via FanDuel

(WIN)

1.1 UNIT

Sepp Straka vs. Taylor Pendrith

Sepp Straka (-110)

*1/21 at 6:00am via DraftKings

(LOSS)

1.1 UNIT

1u - Si Woo Kim Top 20 (+140)

0.1u - Si Woo Kim To Win (+3500)

*1/21 at 6:00am via DraftKings

(SPLIT)

0.3 UNIT

0.2u - Matti Schmidt Top 20 (+450)

0.1u - Matt Schmidt To Win (+17500)

*1/21 at 6:00am via Fanatics

(LOSS X2)

0.2 UNIT

Doug Ghim Top 20 (+500)

*1/21 at 6:00am via Fanatics

(LOSS)

0.2 UNIT

Rico Hoey To Win (+7000)

*1/21 at 6:00am via BetMGM

(LOSS)

0.1 UNIT

Akshay Bhatia To Win (+7500)

*1/21 at 6:00am via DraftKings

(LOSS)

NFL Results:

0.75 UNIT

Patriots @ Broncos

Broncos +6 (-115)

*1/18 at 7:01pm via DraftKings

(WIN)

0.5 UNIT

Rams @ Seahawks

Rams +3 (-115)

*1/19 at 6:20am via Fanatics

(LOSS)