Free Pick Of The Day:

NBA:

0.5 UNIT

Pistons @ Knicks

Over 213 (-110)

This game has the lowest total of the series so far. Games 1 and 2 in New York closed between 221 and 222.5 with a 1-1 split on the total. Games 3 and 4 in Detroit closed at 216.5 with a 1-1 split on the total. Tonight is a potential elimination game for the Pistons. It is worth noting that elimination games tend to be slightly lower scoring. Each possession is extremely valuable when your season is on the line, which can often lead to a slower tempo game with fewer overall possessions. This narrative is reflected in tonight's 213 total. Neither of these teams has an overpowering defense with both ranking outside the top 10. Each team has an offense capable of a big night from the three-point line. The Knicks and Pistons are both shooting over 35% from three-point range throughout the series. They are also two of the best free-throw shooting teams remaining. The Knicks are 4-0 to the over in their last four games following a performance where they scored under 100 points (they scored 94 in their last game). We like our chances of this game going over the 213 point total. Our stake is a half unit.

(4/29 at 8:46am via Caesars)

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