SteadyPicks Free Picks & Tools
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SteadyPicks System
Profitable Record Across 7 Sports
Data & Model Driven Selections
7 Year Track Record Of Success
Free Pick Of The Day:
UFC:
0.3 UNIT
Manon Fiorot vs. Alexa Grasso
Manon Fiorot By Decision (-150)
Alexa Grasso is one of Mexico’s most beloved fighters. She is extremely dangerous and skilled in both boxing and grappling, as highlighted by her most recent win over Maycee Barber, in which Grasso essentially knocked Barber out and then submitted her. However, this appears to be a very difficult matchup for Grasso on paper against the long, rangy, elite striking of Manon Fiorot. The xR% gap between these two fighters is enormous, with Fiorot at 77% compared to Grasso at 52%. Fiorot wins rounds at a dramatically higher rate. Over three rounds against one of the most active and precise strikers in the women’s flyweight division, that gap can compound quickly. Fiorot is a legitimate knockout threat but has zero submission attempts in her UFC career, which essentially narrows her paths to victory to a knockout or decision. Grasso has never been knocked out or even knocked down in her career and consistently brings tremendous toughness every time she steps into the Octagon. Grasso has cashed numerous times as a sizable underdog and is certainly live in this matchup. However, we like the (-150) price on Manon Fiorot to win by decision.
(9/12 at 7:17am via FanDuel)
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Sean Brady
Ranked UFC Welterweight
Fights Out Of Philadelphia PA
Host Of The BradyBagz Show
Sean Brady's Picks:
New episode of The BradyBagz Show out now!
Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado
Jean Silva Moneyline
Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales
Brandon Moreno Moneyline
Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki
Tommy McMillen Moneyline
Manon Fiorot vs. Alexa Grasso
Manon Fiorot Moneyline
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Curtis Blaydes
Waldo Cortes-Acosta Moneyline
David Martinez vs. Dan Ige
David Martinez Moneyline
Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Muslim Salikhov
Ignacio Bahamondes Moneyline
Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos
Yousri Belgaroui Moneyline
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HERE.
Breakfast Bets
Hosted By Scott Reichel
Co-Hosted By Jake Savicki
Daily Show On SteadyPicks YouTube
Breakfast Bets:
New episode of Breakfast Bets out now!
Scott's Bets:
Oklahoma @ Michigan
Under 44 (-115)
South Florida @ Army
Army -3.5 (-102)
Oregon @ Oklahoma State
Oregon -22.5 (-110)
Arkansas @ Utah
Utah -12.5 (-110)
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NBA - Overall: 679-517 (+147.4 Units)
NFL - Overall: 421-304 (+110.4 Units)
NCAAB - Overall: 589-527 (+81.5 Units)
PGA - Total Units To Date (+72.2 Units)
MLB - Overall: 1141-948 (+61.0 Units)
UFC - Overall: 333-341 (+40.8 Units)
NCAAF - Overall: 209-197 (+20.6 Units)
Trailing Results
SteadyPicks System
MLB Results
0.3 UNIT
Astros @ Rays
Rays Moneyline (-156)
We like this matchup for the Rays with one of the most consistent starters in the league on the mound in Drew Rasmussen. Over a 153-inning sample size this season, Rasmussen has a FIP and ERA in the 2s, and his home splits are also very good. The Astros are going with a bullpen game, and it’s worth noting that their bullpen ranks below league average (17th). This game should primarily feature right-handed pitching on both sides, and the Rays rank 1st in wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season (8th over the last 30 days). The Astros offense ranks 8th in wRC+ versus RHP, but 28th over the last 30 days. Tampa has a significantly better defense, ranking 2nd in DRS (defensive runs saved) compared to 26th for Houston. This wager carries some extra juice, but we like the Rays' chances to secure a home win tonight, and we will back them on the moneyline.
(9/11 at 1:12pm via Novig)
(WIN)
0.25 UNIT
Guardians @ Twins
Guardians Moneyline (-113)
This game features two quality starters in Parker Messick and Taj Bradley. Among the two, Messick holds the slightly better metrics both over the full-season sample and in his road splits versus Bradley’s home splits. Parker Messick is a lefty, and the Twins rank below the league average in wRC+ versus left-handed pitching, including 25th over the last 30 days. Bradley is a righty, and the Guardians have struggled against righties this season but have been trending upward, ranking 12th in wRC+ versus RHP over the last 30 days. Our MLB betting charts indicate two other notable edges for Cleveland with their bullpen and defense. The Guardians' bullpen ranks 6th, with all of their top relievers on extended rest, while the Twins' bullpen ranks 25th. We are comfortable with the (-113) price on the Guardians moneyline.
(9/11 at 8:47am via Novig)
(WIN)
Wake Up & Wager
Ricky's Results
0.5 UNIT
Patriots @ Seahawks
Patriots +4 | 53% (-115)
*9/7 via ProphetX
(WIN)
Tom's Results
1 UNIT
Patriots @ Seahawks
Patriots +3.5 (-110)
*9/8 via BetMGM
(WIN)
Breakfast Bets
Scott's Results
Reds @ Brewers
Over 7.5 (-120)
(WIN)
White Sox @ Cardinals
Over 8 (-115)
(WIN)
Rangers @ Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks Moneyline (-125)
(WIN)
Padres @ Giants
Giants -0.5 F5 Innings (-125)
(LOSS)
Breakfast Bomb:
Miguel Vargas HR (+400)
(LOSS)
Jake's Results
White Sox @ Cardinals
Cardinals Moneyline (-105)
(WIN)
Pirates @ Cubs
Pirates Moneyline (+165)
(LOSS)
Breakfast Bomb:
Jordan Walker HR (+400)
(LOSS)
