Thursday Night Football Best Bet 12/22/2022
Jets vs. Jaguars 8:15pm
Jets Moneyline (-126)
The weather may play a factor in this Thursday Night matchup. The forecast is calling for consistent rain, and about 15-20 mph winds throughout the game. There are extremely cold weather conditions in several games this weekend. Luckily for these teams, that cold front will not impact this game. It will be rainy and windy, but the temperatures will be in the mid 40s. In terms of the matchup, we have an offense that has been red hot with the Jaguars, facing an elite defense with the Jets. The Jets pass coverage metrics are top 3 in the NFL, so look for Trevor Lawerence to have smaller throwing windows tonight. The big question here is whether or not Zach Wilson can avoid key turnovers. He had an ugly interception last week (and almost several more). Over 5% of Zach Wilson's passes have been turnover worthy throws according to PFF. This is an alarming metric, and it's tough to trust Wilson. However, our numbers suggest the edge the Jets have defensively is more significant than the edge the Jags have offensively. For that reason, we are going to side with the Jets. We will be holding our breath when Zach Wilson drops back to pass, and hoping the Jets defense leads the way. Our bet is 1 unit. Enjoy the game!

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