In what will be a very cold and windy game, we are siding with the team that has the better metrics in the trenches. By the numbers, Air Force has the better offensive line and defensive line. Believe it or not, Air Force leads the nation in defensive yards allowed per game, and total defensive yards allowed. Yes they play a lighter schedule, but it’s still an impressive stat. The adjusted defensive metrics from Football Outsiders have Air Force ranked inside the top 45 in DFEI. Adjusted metrics are key when evaluating teams who played much different strengths of schedule. In terms of skill players, Baylor has a huge advantage. Neither team has been impacted much by opt outs or the transfer portal. Baylor fired their defensive coordinator, but aside from that these teams both have their expected staff and roster. We will take the points with the underdogs.

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