Our model suggests this spread should be closer to a pick 'em, so we like the value on the underdogs. Kansas State ranks higher in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency. With this game being played at a neutral site, we see a slight advantage for Kansas State. The Wildcats have been fantastic away from their home court with wins at Texas, at Baylor, and at Oklahoma State. Kansas State did travel into TCU in mid January and lost 68-82. However, they beat TCU by 21 points in the more recent matchup when the game was played in Manhattan Kansas. TCU has one of the most significant home court advantages in the nation according to KenPom. Playing outside of the Schollmaier Arena has been challenging for TCU, with 7 road losses since early January. Our wager is a half unit on Kansas State with the +2.5 points. 

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