Justin Verlander will make his 2023 debut with the Astros after being traded from the Mets. Verlander went 4-1 with a 1.69 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 37.1 innings pitched in July. He looks to be inching closer to last year's Cy Young form. On the other side of this matchup is Yankees lefty Nestor Cortes who has not pitched since May 30th. Prior to going on the IL, Cortes metrics had regressed significantly from his All Star 2022 campaign. We see an edge for the Astros in this starting pitching matchup, and offensively. The Astros on the moneyline is our wager.

This bet is a fade on Royals rookie pitcher Alec Marsh. The Royals are 0-5 in the games that Marsh has started this season. What’s more alarming is that Marsh is allowing an average of over 3 home runs and over 5 walks per 9 innings. His FIP sits at 8.19, with an ERA of 6.75. Phillies starter Cristopher Sanchez allowed 0 hits in 5 innings in his last start. Sanchez has an impressive 2.66 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. We see an advantage for the Phillies in the starting pitching matchup, their bullpen, and their offense. Our wager is a half unit on the -1.5 run line.

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