Our data suggests that this line is a bit inflated tonight. Wake Forest is 9-1 this season, and they've been covering spreads on their home floor at an impressive mark (6-1 ATS). However, VMI is hot right now. They have won and covered the spread in 3 straight, and were a dog in 2/3 of those games. Our numbers suggest this game will stay within 11-12 points, so we see great value getting +15.5. FanDuel currently has the best number available if you like VMI.

Here we are fading this Northern Iowa team at home, and as a favorite. Northern Iowa is 0-3 against the spread at home this season, and they are 0-4 as a favorite. Betting Jackson St. as a road dog this season has been very profitable, they are 6-3 against the spread in this spot. We are going to take the points with the dog.

This is purely a numbers based play, with a line movement in our favor. Our data across the board has North Texas beating this Sam Houston team by north of 11 points. The line movement is also in our favor here. North Texas has been a double digit favorite just one other time this season, and they won that game by 28 points. Some books already have this line at 11 or 11.5. Head over to FanDuel if you prefer to lay 10.5 with a little juice.

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