Bradley has not played well away from home this season. They are 1-3 against the spread outside of their home court. Toledo has a significant edge rebounding the basketball. They rank amongst the top 30 teams in the country on the boards. Bradley has won 3 games straight, but against poor competition. Toledo is coming off of a loss at Michigan State, but they played tough and covered. We are laying the 4.5 with Toledo.

Here is what you need to know about this matchup. Both of these two teams rank at the bottom of the nation in terms of scoring. These teams play at a slow pace, both teams have had games where they scored in the 30s and 40s. Our numbers suggest that grabbing the points with the dog presents more expected value than betting the under. Our bet is one unit.

This game checks out big in terms of our numbers and the data we look at. All of our resources have St. Louis winning this game by a margin of 5-10 points. However, the public money is all over St. Louis, and this line is not moving. We will trust our numbers here, but because of this line freeze, we will limit our bet to a half unit.

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