Thursday Night Football Best Bet 11/3/2022
Texans vs. Eagles 8:20pm
Texans +14 (-107)
The most important thing to know about this game from a betting perspective, is that there is a lot of money on the Eagles tonight. We look at many different resources to compare market splits, and nearly all of them are reporting north of 80-90% of both tickets and money behind the Eagles. This game is a contrarian bettors dream. If you like to fade the public, you won't find a better game than this. In terms of the matchup itself, the Texans two strengths are their run game on offense, and their pass coverage on defense. The Eagles have been very good defensively, but the area they grade the lowest in is against the run. The Eagles defense is also bottom 3 in several key tackling metrics. Given this large spread, the short week, and the market liability on the Eagles side, we will roll with a half unit bet on the Texans. The Texans have only lost 1 game this season by more than 14 points. The Eagles will be their toughest opponent yet, so we will see if they hold up. Either way, we can live with taking a small flyer in this spot.

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