Fading the Warriors as a road favorite has been one of the most profitable spots in the NBA. The Warriors are 3-8 against the spread in this spot, and tonight they face a Thunder team that has been fantastic at home this season (16-9 ATS). The Thunder are also 25-10 ATS as an underdog this season (71% cover rate). Bettors who have been riding the Thunder in this spot have cleaned up! Some regression may come at some point for the Thunder, but we like this matchup for them tonight. The Thunder are one of the few teams in the NBA who can match the pace of Golden State. Oklahoma City runs more miles per game than almost every team in the league, and their average player speed is faster than the Warriors. The Thunder are very efficient scoring inside the paint, which is a defensive metric the Warriors have been struggling in. Our bet is a half unit on the Thunder +5.5.

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