Texas vs. Xavier 9:45pm
(NCAA Tournament Sweet 16)
Texas -4 (-110)
Here we are going to roll with a half unit play on the more balanced team. Xavier has a phenomenal offense (7th in adjusted offensive efficiency), but their defense ranks outside of the top 50 in most key metrics. Texas on the other hand, ranks 15th in adjusted offensive efficiency, and 10th in adjusted defensive efficiency. This Longhorns team checks all the boxes of a potential national champion. Texas played in a highly competitive Big 12 conference, winning the Big 12 tournament. We will look for the Texas defense to be the difference in the game, and the spread. Texas -4 is our bet.