Two guys here who have a ton of early finishes on their resumes. In terms of the fight itself, we are likely looking at either a Teixeira submission, or a Prochazka knockout. Rather than selecting a side, our bet is that the finish comes sooner rather than later, regardless of who gets it. Both of these guy are coming off back to back finishes against high level fighters. It would be very surprising to see this one go beyond 2.5 rounds.

We were originally looking at the knockout prop here. However, there is only about a 10 cent difference in the KO/TKO versus the moneyline number. For that reason, we will grab the moneyline and cover ourselves in case this one ends up going the distance. Ramazan Emeev might have a slight wrestling edge here, but in terms of striking, this is all Della Maddalena.

Steve Garcia will have a huge experience edge in this bout. He will also bring in a 4 inch reach advantage, and should have a nice edge in terms of grappling. Maheshate is making his UFC debut, the 22 year old has just one professional fight to his name. He was a good story on the Contender series, but this is a big jump up in competition. We will take the more experienced fighter in Steve Garcia. Our bet is one unit.

Here is our favorite parlay of the night. It would be wildly surprising to see either of these two fighters lose. For Brendan Allen, we believe he has both a wrestling and striking edge over his opponent Jacob Malkoun. Whichever way that fight goes, Allen should be have a nice path to victory. For Valentina Shevchenko, we expect her well rounded skill set to be too much for Taila Santos to handle. It's important to remember that parlays are negative EV bets, so we are not going to get in a habit of placing these. One unit only on this parlay.

Jake Matthews is a black belt in Jiu-Jitsu, and we believe he will have a strong grappling edge in this matchup. While the knockout is always a threat with Fialho, we will side with who we believe is the more well rounded fighter overall. 

In addition to the Jake Matthews moneyline bet, we are rolling with an additional half unit on him to get the submission. FanDuel currently has a (+700) available, which is by far the best number in market for this prop.

The line movement in this fight is something we can't ignore. Na Liang opened as a (+130) dog, and this line has come all the way down to (+105). A move this significant signals a lot of sharp money coming in on Liang. At some books, Na Liang is actually favored in this fight. Silvana Gomez Juarez is 0-2 in the UFC, and was submitted in both bouts. We will take the dog who should have the advantage in the grappling/wrestling department.

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