The NFL season is finally here! Our first bet of the season will be on the underdogs, and here's why. First, let's dig into this line freeze at 2.5. The books have yet to offer a 3 at any point on the Rams. It's important to know that in the NFL, 3 is the most important key number to monitor. Sometimes a sharp line freeze like we are seeing here can be just as telling as a line move. The books do no want to give a +3 on the Rams, and this line has actually fallen to +2 a few times this week. The second thing to consider is that Sean McVay has had a ton of success in week 1 as a head coach. He is 5-0 both straight up and against the spread in week 1. Lastly, Super Bowl winners are 19-3 in week 1 since 2000. We aren't huge trend supporters here at SteadyPicks, but we can't ignore that the Super Bowl winners tend to have success in these week 1 games. We will roll with a one unit bet on the Rams +2.5 as home dogs. Buying the half point or full point will be a popular move from bettors tonight. For us, it's too much juice for our liking. Over a large sample size, you're better off taking the +2.5 at (-110). That being said, if you'll lose sleep over a potential half point loss, then grab the point. If you can stomach it knowing the +2.5 (-110) had better expected value, then hold strong at 2.5. Enjoy the game tonight. Football is back!

All picks are available 100% free! Simply head to the "Sign Up" page and join the SteadyPicks team.