Here we have two very good West Coast Conference teams. Gonzaga has the #1 ranked adjusted offensive efficiency rating in the nation. However on the defensive side of the ball, Gonzaga ranks just inside the top 100. Saint Mary’s has the 33rd ranked offense in terms of adjusted efficiency, and the 7th ranked defense. These two teams split their two matchups this season, with both programs winning their matchup at home. Our numbers suggest the discrepancy between these two defenses is more significant than the offensive discrepancy. We will forget the points here, and roll with a half unit bet on the underdogs to win outright.

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