Biggest Line Moves For UFC Houston
Biggest Line Moves For UFC Houston
Carlos Leal vs. Chidi Njokuani

Opening Line
* Carlos Leal: (-195)
* Chidi Njokuani: (+150)

⬇️ Market adjustments

Current Line
* Carlos Leal Miranda: (-125)
* Chidi Njokuani: (+108)

Key Read:
Significant line adjustment toward Chidi, who holds a 4-inch height advantage and a 6-inch reach advantage. Both fighters are coming off losses. Major red flag on the Carlos Leal side due to this degree of line movement. We recommend keeping a close eye on this fight at weigh-ins.

Jacobe Smith vs. Josiah Harrell

Opening Line
* Jacobe Smith: (-425)
* Josiah Harrell: (+300)

⬇️ Market adjustments

Current Line
* Jacobe Smith: (-295)
* Josiah Harrell: (+230)

Key Read:
Jacobe Smith is a highly touted prospect, but he will take on an undefeated prospect making his UFC debut with Josiah Harrell. Early respected money appears to be hitting the unknown underdog, suggesting the oddsmakers may have slightly mispriced Jacobe Smith in this matchup at opening. We are holding at current prices and waiting for the props to open.

Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac

Opening Line
* Ante Delija: (-200)
* Serghei Spivac: (+165)

⬇️ Market adjustments

Current Line
* Ante Delija: (-150)
* Serghei Spivac: (+125)

Key Read:
Early respected money has come down on the underdog side. Oddsmakers didn’t hesitate to move this line and have continued to move it toward Spivac, indicating confidence behind the adjustment. Delija comes off a KO loss in a strange circumstance. He looked to have won the fight by TKO, but was then ruled to have committed an eye poke and was knocked out when the fight resumed. We are going to wait and see how far the Delija line dips.

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