Michigan State vs. Illinois Breakdown & Best Bet
Michigan State vs. Illinois Breakdown & Best Bet
Illinois @ Michigan State

We understand it’s a tough bet to stomach betting against Tom Izzo and this Michigan State team in the Breslin Center. However, our metrics suggest the wrong team is favored in this matchup, so we will take the uncomfortable stance on the Fighting Illini side. Illinois has the #1 offense in the nation, paired with a defense that ranks inside the top 20. They have also been fantastic on the road, with wins in Nebraska, Purdue, Iowa, Ohio State, and Tennessee. Michigan State has a phenomenal defense, but its offense ranks just inside the top 50. The Spartans' top player (Jeremy Fears) could face disciplinary action in this game, with coach Tom Izzo threatening to bench him earlier this week. We will take the +1.5 points with whom the metrics suggest is the better overall basketball team in Illinois.

Our Bet: Illinois +1.5 (-110) via BetMGM