This main event looks to be one of the best matchups of the year. Alexander Volkanovski will attempt to become a two division champion, and Islam Makhachev will defend his Lightweight belt. There have only been four UFC fighters in history to hold two belts, so this will be a massive accomplishment if Volk can go up in weight and get a win. We won’t dive too far into the stats here, but Volk is landing 6.7 significant strikes per minute compared to 2.3 for Islam. In terms of striking defense, Islam has the edge in significant strikes absorbed per minute (0.9 vs. 3.5 for Volk). For grappling, Islam averages 3.4 takedowns per 15 minutes, to Volk’s 1.7. For us this one comes down to the odds. The +325 odds suggest the books are implying Volk has roughly a 23% chance of winning. We believe he’s got a better chance than that, so we will gladly take the value here on the underdog. This fight will take place in Australia, where the crowd will be heavily behind Volk. Enjoy the fight!