The first two games of this series flew over the run total. In this matchup tonight featuring two very good starters, we are forecasting a different result. Dodgers starter Ryan Pepiot is not a name that many are familiar with, but he’s been fantastic in his 21 inning sample size in 2023. Pepiot holds a 0.86 ERA and 2.83 FIP. He hasn’t allowed more than 3 hits in any of his appearances this season. Behind Ryan Pepiot is a Dodgers bullpen that ranks top 3 in the MLB in ERA over the last 30 games. On the Padres side of this pitching matchup, Cy Young candidate Blake Snell will start the game. Snell has a 2.29 ERA on the road this season (78.2 innings). The Padres bullpen ranks middle of the pack, but Snell typically minimizes the exposure from the bullpen. He’s pitched 6 or more innings in 6 consecutive starts. Our wager is on under 9 total runs to be scored.

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