Kent State suffered a 12 point loss in the first matchup between these teams back on February 3rd. That game was played in Akron, and Kent State closed as a -1.5 point road favorite. Despite the loss, Kent State enters this second matchup as a 4 point home favorite. Kent State is unbeaten at home this season (14-0). All 14 of those home wins have been by north of 4 points. Kent State has the 34th ranked adjusted defensive efficiency rating in the nation. Akron’s defense ranks 119th in this metric. Offensively, these teams grade out very close. It is worth noting, although Kent State is 14-0 at home, the KenPom home court advantage estimates suggest their home court doesn't present much of an edge. The books only moved this number about 2.5 points from where it was when the game was played in Akron. Either way, we feel comfortable laying the 4 points with the home team. Our stake is a half unit.

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