These NFL playoff lines are sharp. Today we see a good opportunity for a teaser on two home favorites. For the first leg, we are going to tease the Buccaneers from -7 to -0.5. This line has moved a full point and a half toward the Eagles over the last 24 hours, but we like this value essentially getting the Bucs on the moneyline. For the Chiefs, we are moving this line from -12.5 to -6. All of our resources across the board have the Chiefs winning this game by at least 6 points. This game will likely be closer than the last matchup (Pittsburgh lost by 26), but the Chiefs should have no problem covering this game by a touchdown. Remember, the key with teasers is to always try to follow the Wong teaser rules. If nothing else, always make sure you are moving through two key numbers (3, 6, 7, 10, 14). We move through 6 and 3 on the Buccaneers leg, and we move through 10 and 7 in the Chiefs leg.

When we breakdown our data to identify where the positive expected value lies, our numbers point to either a Cowboys moneyline bet, or a no play. We've got the expected return on the Cowboys -3 at roughly +0.5%, and the Cowboys moneyline at about +7%. Our numbers show all bets on the 49ers with a negative expected return. For this reason, we will trust our numbers and go Cowboys moneyline for one unit.

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