NBA Best Bets For Thursday November 9th 2023
Bucks @ Pacers 7:00pm
Bucks -3 (-110)
Under 243.5 Total Points (-110)
We are going to split our one unit into two separate wagers in this matchup. These two offenses have been scorching hot to begin the season. The Pacers currently rank 1st in the NBA in offensive efficiency, with the Bucks ranking within the top 10. Both of these teams' defenses rank bottom 10 in defensive efficiency, and both play at a fast pace. In a lot of ways, these two teams are the perfect recipe for an over bet. That being said, the bookmakers have this total set at an extremely high mark (243.5). The over is 9-1 if you combine these two teams' last 5 games. Both teams are in the 2nd game of a back to back spot. Statistically speaking, averages drop for any team playing their second game in a row. A half unit on the under is the first part of our wager. For the second half unit bet, we are going to lay the -3 points behind Milwaukee. The Pacers offense finished 24th in the NBA in offensive efficiency last season. We find it difficult to buy into a 24th ranked offense last year, moving to 1st this season with a relatively similar roster. We anticipate regression coming for this Pacers offense, and for Milwaukee to continue to be a top 10 offense. Our stake is a half unit on the Bucks -3.
(Pick posted 11/9 at 11:37am via Barstool)

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