We like this as a buy low spot for the Pelicans, and a sell high on the Timberwolves. Having success betting in the NBA is all finding spots like this. Here's the deal. Zion Williamson is out, and the Pelicans are 0-3 on the season with some ugly losses. The Timberwolves have looked great in their 2-0 start to the season. However, we see two big red flags on the Timberwolves tonight. First, this line is extremely sharp toward the Pelicans. Over 90% of the public money is backing the Timberwolves, yet this line has remained frozen at (+5.5). Second, our data suggests this game should be closer to a pick em. If the books were worried about the liability on the Timberwolves, they would move this number. Unless it moves drastically before game time, you should feel good about fading a lot of public money and siding with the books. Whether we win or lose this bet, there is a lot of value here.

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