Here we have a matchup of two betting extremes. The Heat are 0-4 against the spread to start the season. The Trail Blazers are a perfect 4-0 both straight up and against the spread. Portland has been a dog in every single game this season (including tonight). For us, we will opt to buy low on the Heat, and sell high on the Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers shot 57% from the field in their last game against the Nuggets. We expect this number to regress back toward their average tonight against a strong defensive team. The Heat have been struggling to get quality shots, but they've played 3 good defenses in their first 4 games (Celtics, Raptors, Bulls). We will look for the Heat to show up offensively tonight, and spoil the party in Portland.

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