It's a bit surprising to see the Guardians electing to stick with Aaron Civale today. Civale has struggled against the Yankees. He is 0-2 with an ERA of 10 in two starts against them this season. The Yankees are using the extra day to their advantage. They have flipped their starter to Nestor Cortez, who has been much better than James Taillon this season. Cortez is 6-1 with a 1.95 ERA at home this season. He's also 1-0 with good numbers in 2 starts against the Guardians this year. We are laying a bit more juice with Nestor Cortez, but we like the swap. The Yankees have nearly a 70% win rate in Yankee Stadium this season. Our bet is one unit on the Yankees to win and advance to the ALCS.

Here we have a tight matchup that our numbers suggest should be a true (-110) pick em on both sides. Zack Wheeler has been fantastic this postseason. Wheeler pitched against the Padres once this season, he threw 7 scoreless innings and recorded a win. Padres starter Yu Darvish has also had success against the Phillies (1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings). Both offenses and bullpens have been playing very well. Both teams are riding high after upsetting their divisional opponents. We will take the plus money on the Phillies. Our bet is one unit.

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