Mavericks +7 @ Warriors 9:00pm
Western Conference Finals (Game 5)
We haven't seen many close games this NBA postseason. There's been a theme of either blowouts by the home team, or the dogs winning outright. Very few games have actually come down to the spread. Our model suggests this spread tonight should be closer to +4.5 or +5. We will gladly take the +7, and we will hope to finally see a competitive basketball game. Our biggest fear with this bet is what we saw in game 2, where the Mavericks outplayed the Warriors nearly wire to wire, and then a late Warriors run pushes the game beyond the number. The threat of those 2nd half runs will always be there with this Warriors group. That being said, we will trust our numbers here. Give us the 7 points with the dogs who have their season on the line.
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