Our data suggests the wrong team is favored in this matchup. LSU is coming off of back to back road losses to Kentucky & Texas A&M. Their only other loss on the season came on a neutral site against a very good Kansas State team. LSU is undefeated at home in Baton Rouge. According to KenPom’s home court advantage estimates, LSU has one of the best home court advantages in the nation. LSU is one of 20 teams in the country with a home court valued at 4 points or more. In terms of this matchup, Florida is a very good defensive team. However, Florida's one weakness is defending the perimeter. LSU has been a highly efficient 3 point shooting team at home this season. LSU's defense is one of the best in the nation at defending the 3 point line. We expect LSU to win the battle from beyond the arc, and to do enough elsewhere to win this game. We will take the +1.5 points with the home dogs. Our stake is 1 unit.

All picks are available 100% free! Simply head to the "Sign Up" page and join the SteadyPicks team.