Most NBA fans and bettors are anticipating the Lakers ending this series tonight on their home floor. The Grizzlies forced overtime and nearly won game 4 (in Los Angeles) despite shooting just 21% from three point range, and under 40% from the field. In game 5, the Grizzlies played much better offensively at home, and won by 17 points. It's no secret that the Grizzlies have struggled on the road this season. They have a losing road record (16-27), and the Grizzlies are just 2-14 against the spread as a road underdog. The Lakers will likely close as the heaviest bet public team of the night by tipoff. We are going to fade all of that public money, and take the contrarian side with the Grizzlies +5.

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