Bucks vs. Celtics 3:30pm
While the Bucks are a very tough team to beat at home, the numbers suggest that they are also overvalued in the market at home. The Bucks are 17-27 (38% cover rate) against the spread at home this season/postseason. The Celtics dropped game one, so it is important that they steal one of these two games in Milwaukee to flip home court back in their advantage. Our data has this game at a true pick em, so we will grab the 2 points with the road dogs. If you like the theory "defense travels", the Celtics have the best defense in the NBA, and will get back the defensive player of the year (Marcus Smart) for this game. Our bet is one unit.

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