Here we have two very good defenses, and two inconsistent offenses. Boise State ranks 18th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, while Northwestern ranks 14th in this metric. On the offensive side of this metric, Northwestern ranks outside the top 100 (110th), Boise State ranks 79th. Boise State is a much more efficient offense, and they have several talented three point shooters. Northwestern’s offense ranks 320th in effective field goal percentage, which is very alarming. Given the two strong defenses, we will side with who we feel has the edge on the other side of the ball. Our wager is a half unit on Boise State +2.

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