Big Jon's Must Bet College Football Playoff Parlay
College Football Parlay (-175)
Alabama Moneyline vs. Cincinatti
Georgia Moneyline vs. Michigan
Before you knock my pick for laying juice on two heavy favorites, take a moment to understand the angle of the bet. My goal today with these two college football playoff games is to come out net positive at the end of the games. I believe that this parlay right here, presents the best opportunity to do so. Based on the (-600) moneyline price, the implied probability of Alabama beating Cincinnati today is roughly a 77% likelihood. So in other words, barring an unlikely outcome of the Bama game, you'd be taking a (-175) moneyline ticket on Georgia into that game. The current moneyline spread on Georgia is around (-300). So while this parlay does not have positive expected value when you place it, it will IF Alabama simply wins. Remember, there is always an IF in sports betting, and crazier things have happened than a big dog winning in college football. This bet is far from a sure thing, but again, IF Alabama wins, we will be in a good spot here to either ride with Georgia, or hedge for a small profit on Michigan. I certainly won't be hedging, but the opportunity should be there. Always bet responsibly, and enjoy the games!
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