The Yankees are going to be a HUGE public bet today. Despite the early Yankees money, this line has already come back a bit toward the Astros. It's dangerous to bet on a team because "they need to win". This is one of the biggest traps in betting, and it will be a big reason a lot of bettors are behind the Yankees today. The Yankees can't possibly go down 3-0 right? For us, we see the other side of this. All the pressure is on the Yankees. The Astros are familiar with Yankees ace Gerrit Cole. This season, Cole pitched well in his only start against the Astros. He threw 7 strong innings, but the Astros won that game. Cristian Javier started 2 games against the Yankees this season. He's 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA in 12 innings. Cristian Javier has better road numbers than Gerrit Cole has at home. The Astros have the better bullpen, and their offense is much more efficient than the Yankees. For all of these reasons, we are fading the public and rolling with the dogs. Our bet is a half unit.

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